Beat the Book

Here is a mathematical technique to help you convert any race into a profitable scenario by writing off the chances of the contenders which, in your opinion, cannot win.

At first, the technique will work best in early price races because you will have the time to make your calculations without fear of prices changing in midstream.

First of all, study a race and delete all the runners that you are convinced cannot win.

Next, you will need to carry out the following calculations on the prices of the live contenders you have selected - I have tabulated an example to make the explanation easier.

The example shows a list of selected 'live contenders' in a race, together with the best early prices available for each:

Early Price	*Expressed in terms of chance	Calculation	% Chance	Stake required to return £100
15/8	8 in 23	8/23 x 100	34.78	£34.78
7/2	2 in 9	2/9 x 100	22.22	£22.22
6/1	1 in 7	1/7 x 100	14.29	£14.29
15/2	2 in 17	2/17 x 100	11.76	£11.76
20/1	1 in 21	1/21 x 100	4.76	£4.76
Total stake required to return £100 provided any of the selections win				£87.81

*To express in terms of chance, use the second half of the odds fraction and the total of the odds fraction.

E.g. 15/8 would be 8 chances in 23 (15+8)

We can see that, by staking the calculated amounts to win on each of our live contenders at the best early prices we can find, we are certain of securing a £12.19 profit (13.88% ROI) regardless of which contender wins. We are confident of the outcome because we consider the runners we have eliminated to have no chance of winning.

Obviously you cannot use the technique if the sum of your percentages is more than 100. However, should you decide to eliminate a well-fancied favourite from your calculations, or your list of live contenders is very short, the potential profit can be significant.

The technique can be used in a live betting market once you become so familiar with the calculations that you are able to make them very quickly.

These calculations can be carried out extremely quickly and efficiently by using the

Beat The Book tool.

Professional

Betting

Portfolio

by Steve Jones

WINNER:

OUTSTANDING

CONTRIBUTION

TO TIPPING 2018

Awarded by

Smart Betting Club

BEST HORSE

RACING TIPSTER:

2021 Bronze Award

BEST HORSE

RACING TIPSTER:

2013 Silver Award

BEST OVERALL

TIPSTER:

2013 Bronze Award

As voted by

members of

Smart Betting Club

SEE THE 2020

SMART BETTING CLUB

REVIEW OF THE

DAILY BARGAIN

HERE

Recent winning bets:

Sat 30 Sep

ProLays

Baez

Match 5.27

Fri 29 Sep

ProBets

Billy No Mates

Won 5/2 (SP 3/1)

Fri 29 Sep

Daily Bargain

Mutasaabeq (nb)

Won 7/2 to 11/4

Thu 28 Sep

ProLays

Auld Toon Loon

Match 7.95

Wed 27 Sep

Daily Bargain

Humanity

Won 11/2 to 7/4

Short break:

Mon-Fri 18-23 Sep

No bets during this time

Sun 17 Sep

ProLays

Tilsitt

Match 4.94

Sat 16 Sep

ProBets

Sandrine

Won 4/1 (SP 11/2)

Fri 15 Sep

ProLays

Real Dream

Match 5.90

Thu 14 Sep

ProBets

Darnation

Won 9/4(r4) to 11/10

Wed 13 Sep

ProLays

Diamond Bay

Match 5.50

Tue 12 Sep

ProBets

Judicial Law

Won 10/3(r4) to 11/4

Mon 11 Sep

ProBets

Wasdell Dundalk

Won 9/2 to 16/5

Sun 10 Sep

ProBets

Eldar Eldarov

Won 10/3(r4) to 16/5

Sun 10 Sep

Daily Bargain

Crystal Black (nb)

Won 9/1 to 5/1

Sun 10 Sep

ProLays

Real Gain

Match 4.92

Fri 8 Sep

ProLays

Man Of Eden

Match 5.00

Thu 7 Sep

ProLays

Hello Me

Match 5.48

Wed 6 Sep

ProBets

Unlimited

Won 13/8(r4) to 5/4

Wed 6 Sep

Daily Bargain

Divina Grace (nb)

Won 6/1(r4) (SP 6/1)

Tue 5 Sep

Daily Bargain

Novel Legend (nb)

Won 11/4(r4) (SP 11/4)

+ Grand Providence

2nd(nk) 13/2(r4) to 11/4

Exacta: £10.90

Mon 4 Sep

ProBets

Pop Dancer

Won 3/1 (SP 4/1)

Mon 4 Sep

ProLays

Lipsink

Match 6.20

Sat 2 Sep

Daily Bargain

Aimeric

Won 6/1(r4) to 7/4

Fri 1 Sep

Daily Bargain

Persuasion

Won 15/2 to 6/1

Fri 1 Sep

ProLays

Gweedore

Match 5.57

Wed 30 Aug

ProBets

Love De Vega

Won 10/3 to 5/2

Wed 30 Aug

Daily Bargain

Baez (nb)

Won 11/4(r4) to 7/4

Tue 29 Aug

ProLays

Impeller

Match 5.46

Sun 27 Aug

Daily Bargain

Thunder Ball

Won(1PP) 5/1(r4) (SP 7/1)

+ The Gatekeeper (nb)

2nd(nse) 4/1(r4) to 13/8

(places reversed after inquiry)

Exacta: £10.60

(Exacta for revised result)

Sun 27 Aug

ProBets

Many A Star

Won 4/1(r4) to 16/5

Fri 25 Aug

Daily Bargain

Marhaba The Champ

Won 14/1 to 8/1

Fri 25 Aug

ProLays

Motazzen

Match 4.84

Thu 24 Aug

ProLays

Bluestocking

Match 4.80

Wed 23 Aug

ProBets

Mostahdaf

Won 5/2 (SP 3/1)

Mon 21 Aug

Daily Bargain

Optiva Star (nb)

Won 10/3