Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems

Site Index

Home

Welcome

 

Today's Free Bets:

Stableinsider

NHConfidential

System Trial 97

Scoop6 (Saturdays)

Football

 

Professional Tools:

Price Finder 2

Beat The Book

 

Professional Bets:

Portfolio Performance

Daily Bargain

ProBets

ProLays

 

Results Section:

Daily Bargain

ProBets

ProLays

Stableinsider

NHConfidential

System Trial 97

Systems Archive

Football

 

Blog/Newsletters

Steve's Blog

Newsletters

 

Pro Betting Guide:

Don't Go Broke

Banking And Staking

Taking Prices

How Many Winners

Getting Value

Pearls Of Wisdom

Psychology

Useful Formulae

Rating A Race

Vulnerable Favs

Beat The Book

Tracks - Flat

Tracks - NH

Track Speeds - NH

Front Runners

 

Miscellaneous:

Testimonials

Email Steve Jones

 

 

Psychology Of Betting

Approaching betting in a professional manner

 

How do you bet like a professional ?

 

Before you can learn to do that, you must learn to think like a professional in every respect.

 

This is not a technical chapter based on selection processes and staking plans - that will all come later. Firstly, it is the thought processes that we must look at.

 

The main difference between a professional punter and an amateur is that the professional spends less time and effort looking for winners and more time looking for prices. That is the aspect of betting on which you must concentrate if you are ever to become professional.

 

A professional wouldn't walk into a bookie's shop, stare at the Racing Post on the wall for ten minutes, then hurriedly fill in an each-way yankee based on his favourite jockey's mounts.

 

I know that is an obvious example, yet so many thousands of punters every day hand over millions of pounds by acting in such a way.

 

The problem comes when you have a decent win by doing something like that - because it postpones the time when you will reach your senses - sometimes by years. Quite simply, you cannot be a professional and act in such a manner.

 

A professional, by the very nature of the word, has to win. Not every day, or even every week - but he has to win to make a living, or at least to sustain the one he's got.

 

Just image yourself in the position where you have to win - perhaps some of you have been in it. How would you act then? You would certainly take much more care over your selections - but is that enough? You will hopefully have set up a betting bank, and have decided roughly how you are going to stake from it. You will hopefully have a good grasp of value - the most important thing in betting. If you haven't grasped the concept of value, then quite simply you will never be a professional - it's as simple as that. You must be on the lookout for it all the time - you are not looking for winners, you are looking for value.

 

It is very tempting for me to start writing an in-depth analysis of value, selection processes, betting banks and staking plans - but I shall leave each to their own chapter, so that I can try to emphasise the emotional involvement that you will encounter in your quest to make a living.

 

First and foremost, you must be absolutely sure that your methods are right - so sure that you will never ever doubt them no matter what happens. Once you begin to doubt your methods you are in big danger. No matter what sort of losing sequence befalls you, you must never doubt the fundamental methods that you have learned. By attempting to drastically change them you are heading for disaster.

 

One basic principle which you should never forget:

No matter how bad your recent results have been, they do not, in any way whatsoever, affect the chances of today's bet. Not in the slightest. Just because your last seven bets have lost has no bearing on the chances of the eighth. Everyone encounters sequences - it's a part of life that things happen in sequences. But the study of sequences themselves will lead you nowhere, because each investment you make is a completely independent entity, unaffected by anything before or after.

 

Once you understand this (and it takes a long time), then you will treat the inevitable losing runs with a completely different attitude. You will begin to be unaffected by them - not totally, but enough to ensure that they are not on your mind as you make your next selection. This is important - if you are psychologically affected by being in the middle of a losing sequence, your judgement will be affected as you make your next bet. There is no doubt about it.

 

You may forego value to try and retrieve the situation with a short-priced favourite, which normally you would dismiss as giving no value at all. This is fatal, and must be resisted at all times. If you stick to the methods you know are proven, you are bound to win in the long term.

 

What I am trying to say is that after a while a week will become about as significant to you as a day used to be. Years ago I remember being upset as I trudged home after a 'bad day'. How ridiculous that seems to me now. A 'bad week' barely affects me now, because I know that my methods have stood the test of time - and I also know that sequences follow us all through our betting lives, both 'good' ones and 'bad' ones.

 

On the other side of the coin, a 'good' sequence must never ever lead to rashness or complacency. If we remember the golden rule that each bet is completely independent of every other, we must know that ten winners on the bounce doesn't give the eleventh any better chance than it already has.

 

If you ever make a bet purely because of the outcome of a previous one, whether it be because you are well in front so you decide to try to extend the winning streak, or whether it be because to want to recoup losses quickly, then you have not grasped the basic psychology required for the discipline of successful betting.

 

If you can't sleep, and sit up all night and flip a coin repetitively - will there be times when six or seven heads appear one after another? Of course there will, and vice versa. You can't stop it happening - it is a sequence. We have to live with them.

 

A losing sequence doesn't necessarily mean that you are doing anything wrong, and in the same way a winning sequence doesn't necessarily mean that you have the key to long-term profit. The only way to decide whether either is true is to keep cumulative long-term records of your bets.

 

In summary, here are my 5 golden rules to ensure you keep a cool head and the ability to concentrate positively and exclusively on your next bet:

 

1. Know your trade inside out.

 

2. Once they are tried and trusted, stick to your methods at all times, no matter what.

 

3. Eliminate self-doubt.

 

4. Eliminate over-confidence, but not self-confidence.

 

5. Know that sequences, both good and bad, are an inevitable part of betting.

 

2000 - 2023 Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems.

Professional

Betting

Portfolio

by Steve Jones


WINNER:

OUTSTANDING

CONTRIBUTION

TO TIPPING 2018

Awarded by

Smart Betting Club


BEST HORSE

RACING TIPSTER:

2021 Bronze Award


BEST HORSE

RACING TIPSTER:

2013 Silver Award


BEST OVERALL

TIPSTER:

2013 Bronze Award


As voted by

members of

Smart Betting Club


Recent winning bets:


Sat 9 Dec

ProBets

Sonigino

Won 4/1 to 10/3


Sat 9 Dec

ProLays

Vicki Vale

Match 5.80


Fri 8 Dec

ProBets

Stay Away Fay

Won 11/10 to 8/11


Fri 8 Dec

ProLays

Huelgoat

Match 8.69


Thu 7 Dec

Daily Bargain

Riot

Won 15/2 to 5/1


Thu 7 Dec

ProLays

Band Of Steel

Match 6.20


Sun 3 Dec

ProLays

Call The Tune

Match 5.07


Sat 2 Dec

ProBets

Elixir De Nutz

Won 6/1(r4) to 9/2


Fri 1 Dec

ProLays

Ramo

Match 5.84


Thu 30 Nov

ProLays

Inis Oirr

Match 4.98


Wed 29 Nov

ProBets

Hipop Des Ongrais

Won 3/1 to 9/4


Tue 28 Nov

Daily Bargain

Contre Ordre

Won 7/1(r4) to 4/1


Sun 26 Nov

ProBets

Danton

Won 11/4 to 6/4


Sat 25 Nov

ProBets

Star Of Lady M

Won 11/4(r4) to 6/5


Thu 23 Nov

ProLays

Chillingham

Match 5.24


Wed 22 Nov

ProBets

Georges Saint

Won 5/2(r4) to 15/8


Sun 19 Nov

ProLays

Onlyamatteroftime

Match 6.16


Fri 17 Nov

Daily Bargain

Triple Trade (nb)

Won 9/2 to 10/3


Fri 17 Nov

ProLays

Ballybreeze

Match 5.25


Thu 16 Nov

Daily Bargain

Riot (nb)

Won 7/2(r4) (SP 4/1(r4))


Tue 14 Nov

ProLays

Fifty Ball

Match 9.40


Mon 13 Nov

ProBet

Le Ligerian

Won 5/1(r4) (SP 6/1)


Sun 12 Nov

Daily Bargain

Xcitations

Won 8/1 to 9/2