|
| | Do
Your Own Ratings
Does
your selection look like a winner?
Use
this simple checklist to help find out
| Category |
Question
|
Answer
|
Scoring |
Score |
| Class |
Has your
horse won or placed in a race of this class or above in the last 12
months?
(By
'class', I refer to the grade of the race: '1', '2', '3' etc.)
|
Won |
3 |
|
| Placed |
2 |
|
Neither
|
0 |
| Course |
Has your
horse won or placed on this course or one with similar characteristics
in the last 12 months?
For
similar courses please refer to the appropriate track matrix: Flat or NH (these will open in new
windows). |
Won
here |
3 |
|
| Won on
similar |
2 |
| Placed
here |
2 |
| Placed
on similar |
1 |
| Neither |
0 |
| Distance |
Has your horse won
or placed over today's distance in the last 12 months? |
Won |
3 |
|
| Placed |
1 |
| Neither |
0 |
| Recent
Form |
Has your horse finished within
half a length per furlong of the winner in either of its last two runs?
(e.g. if its last race was over 8f answer 'yes' if within 4l). |
Yes |
2 |
|
| No |
0 |
| Speed |
Has your
horse registered an adjusted Topspeed rating for today's race, which is
no lower than 75% of the highest rating for the race?
(Topspeed
is prepared by Dave Edwards in the Racing Post). |
Yes |
2 |
|
| No |
0 |
| Going |
Has your horse won
or placed on today's going in the last 12 months? |
Won |
2 |
|
| Placed |
1 |
| Neither |
0 |
|
Draw |
Does it look like your
horse will be inconvenienced by the draw in today's race? |
Yes |
0 |
|
| No |
1 |
| Fitness |
Has your horse run within the last
50 days? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
| Headgear |
Is your horse wearing
any kind of headgear for the first time (regardless of whether it has
worn a different kind of headgear before)? |
Yes |
0 |
|
| No |
1 |
| Jockey |
Has today's jockey won
or placed on your
horse before? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
| Trainer |
Has the trainer had 3 horses
placed in the last 14 days? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
|
When you have calculated
the score for your selection, multiply by 5 to get a rating out of 100. A
horse rated 100 must have an outstanding chance of winning today.
Without being
over-scientific, if the rating is not over 50 a bet might be risky. It is
also important to rate the other contenders in the race to
see how your selection compares.
This is by no means a
definitive method (because there isn't one), but it will help you highlight the areas of study on which to
concentrate. With a little practice, you will be able to look at a horse's
form and know instinctively if it has potential as a bet.
Once
you are happy, it is time to consider the potential value of your bet to see
whether an investment is wise.
|
|
©
2000 - 2007 Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems
| |
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The
Daily
Bargain
by
Steve Jones 0906
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to Saturday
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Bets
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Tuesday
13 May
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